Danske Bank thinks that the Fed should leave the door open to another rate increase this year, which could weigh in briefly on EUR/USD on the Forex.
«The Fed should not raise rates today but to announce the beginning of the reduction of the balance sheet in October. This is widely anticipated and is not expected to have a strong impact on the Forex.
We expect that the projection median rate always signals a rate hike this year and three increases in the next year. the median rate of the long-term could be lowered from 3% currently.
We do not anticipate any major changes in the release, then it indicates that the Fed is monitoring inflation » closely «. We are eager to hear the point of view of Yellen on the dilemma of high inflation and unemployment rates low at the same time.
Any decline in EUR/USD should be limited and of short duration, but we think that the speed of the rebound of EUR/USD is expected to reduce in the future. «